Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins

doi:10.1007/s11269-008-9336-7

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	Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins
	Liu, Xiuli; Chen, Xikang; Wang, Shouyang
	2009-06-01
发表期刊	WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN	0920-4741
卷号	23 期号:8 页码:1467-1478
摘要	Water pricing plays a crucial role in water resources management. Water shadow price is an important reference in setting water price. It was said that in practice it is almost impossible to obtain water shadow price by solving a linear programming model. In this paper we use water conservancy economy input-occupancy-output tables of the nine Chinese major river basins, and combining input-output analysis method with linear programming method we develop a linear programming model with restrictions on the final demand, total output, trade balance and water availability. We estimate the water shadow prices for industrial water and productive water for the nine Chinese major river basins in 1999 and compared these results with the real industrial water price in China in 1999. Then, for operational purposes and to estimate the shadow prices of industrial water and productive water more easily, and using a Gauss-Newton nonlinear simulation method, we present two nonlinear models that relate the ratio of the volume of water used to the total water resources volume with the shadow prices to predict shadow prices of industrial water and productive water in 2020 and 2030 in China and its nine major river basins.
关键词	Water shadow price Linear programming model Input-output analysis Nonlinear model River basin China
DOI	10.1007/s11269-008-9336-7
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Water Resources
WOS类目	Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS记录号	WOS:000265881700002
出版者	SPRINGER
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/8187
专题	系统科学研究所
通讯作者	Liu, Xiuli
作者单位	Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Inst Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu, Xiuli,Chen, Xikang,Wang, Shouyang. Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins[J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,2009,23(8):1467-1478.
APA	Liu, Xiuli,Chen, Xikang,&Wang, Shouyang.(2009).Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,23(8),1467-1478.
MLA	Liu, Xiuli,et al."Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 23.8(2009):1467-1478.