Wind speed interval prediction model based on variational mode decomposition and multi-objective optimization

doi:10.1016/j.asoc.2021.107848

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	Wind speed interval prediction model based on variational mode decomposition and multi-objective optimization
	Wang, Jianzhou 1; Cheng, Zishu 2,3
	2021-12-01
发表期刊	APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING
ISSN	1568-4946
卷号	113 页码:15
摘要	As a potential new energy power generation technology, wind power is gradually developing into the world's mainstream energy. In the research on wind power generation, wind speed prediction is an important part, which has been widely studied. The accurate wind speed prediction is a key part of wind power management to help wind power grid-tied. Currently, most research has focused on point prediction, which in fact does not facilitate the quantitative characterization of the endogenous uncertainty involved. However, interval prediction can avoid this deficiency and make better operation and scheduling of the wind power models. In this study, a novel interval prediction model based on wind speed distribution and multi-objective optimization is designed, which includes data noise reduction module, prediction module, and combination module based on a multi-objective salp swarm algorithm, to provide accurate forecast for power model operation and grid dispatching. The 10-minute wind speed data from three data sets in China were selected for prediction to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed combined model. The results show that the model is not only better than the considered benchmark model, but also has good potential practical application value in wind power models. (C) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
关键词	Interval prediction Multi-objective optimization algorithm Wind speed Combined models
DOI	10.1016/j.asoc.2021.107848
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[71671029]
WOS研究方向	Computer Science
WOS类目	Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications
WOS记录号	WOS:000760655500004
出版者	ELSEVIER
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/60110
专题	中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者	Cheng, Zishu
作者单位	1.Macau Univ Sci & Technol, Inst Syst Engn, Macau 999078, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Jianzhou,Cheng, Zishu. Wind speed interval prediction model based on variational mode decomposition and multi-objective optimization[J]. APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING,2021,113:15.
APA	Wang, Jianzhou,&Cheng, Zishu.(2021).Wind speed interval prediction model based on variational mode decomposition and multi-objective optimization.APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING,113,15.
MLA	Wang, Jianzhou,et al."Wind speed interval prediction model based on variational mode decomposition and multi-objective optimization".APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING 113(2021):15.