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A model-averaging treatment of multiple instruments in Poisson models with errors
Zhang, Xiaomeng1,2; Zhang, Xinyu1,3; Ma, Yanyuan4
2021-12-15
发表期刊CANADIAN JOURNAL OF STATISTICS-REVUE CANADIENNE DE STATISTIQUE
ISSN0319-5724
页码26
摘要We analyze Poisson regression when covariates contain measurement errors and when multiple potential instrumental variables are available. Without empirical knowledge to select the most suitable variable as an instrument, we propose a novel model-averaging approach to resolve this issue. We prescribe an implementation and establish its optimality in terms of minimizing prediction risk. We further show that, as long as one model is correctly specified among all potential instrumental variable models, our method will lead to consistent prediction. The performance of our method is illustrated through simulations and a movie sales example.
关键词Count response error in variable instrumental variable measurement error minimum risk model averaging Poisson regression prediction optimality
DOI10.1002/cjs.11678
收录类别SCI
语种英语
资助项目Beijing Natural Science Foundation[Z210003] ; National Key R&D Program of China[2020AAA0105200] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72091212] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71925007] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[11688101] ; Academy for Multidisciplinary Studies, Capital Normal University ; National Science Foundation ; National Institutes of Health
WOS研究方向Mathematics
WOS类目Statistics & Probability
WOS记录号WOS:000730249800001
出版者WILEY
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/59665
专题中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者Zhang, Xiaomeng
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Beijing Acad Artificial Intelligence, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
4.Penn State Univ, Dept Stat, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
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Zhang, Xiaomeng,Zhang, Xinyu,Ma, Yanyuan. A model-averaging treatment of multiple instruments in Poisson models with errors[J]. CANADIAN JOURNAL OF STATISTICS-REVUE CANADIENNE DE STATISTIQUE,2021:26.
APA Zhang, Xiaomeng,Zhang, Xinyu,&Ma, Yanyuan.(2021).A model-averaging treatment of multiple instruments in Poisson models with errors.CANADIAN JOURNAL OF STATISTICS-REVUE CANADIENNE DE STATISTIQUE,26.
MLA Zhang, Xiaomeng,et al."A model-averaging treatment of multiple instruments in Poisson models with errors".CANADIAN JOURNAL OF STATISTICS-REVUE CANADIENNE DE STATISTIQUE (2021):26.
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