KMS Of Academy of mathematics and systems sciences, CAS
Assessing China's efforts to pursue the 1.5 degrees C warming limit | |
Duan, Hongbo1; Zhou, Sheng2; Jiang, Kejun3; Bertram, Christoph4; Harmsen, Mathijs5,6; Kriegler, Elmar4,7; van Vuuren, Detlef P.5,6; Wang, Shouyang1,8; Fujimori, Shinichiro9,10,11; Tavoni, Massimo12,13; Ming, Xi1; Keramidas, Kimon14; Iyer, Gokul15,16; Edmonds, James15,16 | |
2021-04-23 | |
发表期刊 | SCIENCE |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
卷号 | 372期号:6540页码:378-+ |
摘要 | Given the increasing interest in keeping global warming below 1.5 degrees C, a key question is what this would mean for China's emission pathway, energy restructuring, and decarbonization. By conducting a multimodel study, we find that the 1.5 degrees C-consistent goal would require China to reduce its carbon emissions and energy consumption by more than 90 and 39%, respectively, compared with the "no policy" case. Negative emission technologies play an important role in achieving near-zero emissions, with captured carbon accounting on average for 20% of the total reductions in 2050. Our multimodel comparisons reveal large differences in necessary emission reductions across sectors, whereas what is consistent is that the power sector is required to achieve full decarbonization by 2050. The cross-model averages indicate that China's accumulated policy costs may amount to 2.8 to 5.7% of its gross domestic product by 2050, given the 1.5 degrees C warming limit. |
DOI | 10.1126/science.aba8767 |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[71874177] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72022019] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71874096] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71988101] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2020YFA0608603] ; Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency of Japan[JPMEERF20202002] |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000645009800037 |
出版者 | AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/58735 |
专题 | 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 |
通讯作者 | Duan, Hongbo; Zhou, Sheng; van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Wang, Shouyang |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Tsinghua Univ, Inst Energy Environm & Econ, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Macroecon Res, Energy Res Inst, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China 4.Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany 5.Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy PBL, Postbus 30314, The Hague, Netherlands 6.Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, POB 80125, NL-3508 TC Utrecht, Netherlands 7.Univ Potsdam, Fac Econ & Social Sci, D-14482 Potsdam, Germany 8.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 9.Kyoto Univ, Dept Environm Engn, Kyoto 6158540, Japan 10.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Ctr Social & Environm Syst Res, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan 11.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria 12.Politecn Milan, Dept Management Econ & Ind Engn, I-20123 Milan, Italy 13.Fdn Ctr Euromediterraneo Cambiamenti Climat, RFF CMCC European Inst Econ & Environm, I-20123 Milan, Italy 14.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr JRC, E-41092 Seville, Spain 15.Univ Maryland, Joint Global Change Res Inst, College Pk, MD 20740 USA 16.Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, College Pk, MD 20740 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Duan, Hongbo,Zhou, Sheng,Jiang, Kejun,et al. Assessing China's efforts to pursue the 1.5 degrees C warming limit[J]. SCIENCE,2021,372(6540):378-+. |
APA | Duan, Hongbo.,Zhou, Sheng.,Jiang, Kejun.,Bertram, Christoph.,Harmsen, Mathijs.,...&Edmonds, James.(2021).Assessing China's efforts to pursue the 1.5 degrees C warming limit.SCIENCE,372(6540),378-+. |
MLA | Duan, Hongbo,et al."Assessing China's efforts to pursue the 1.5 degrees C warming limit".SCIENCE 372.6540(2021):378-+. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论