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Take Bitcoin into your portfolio: a novel ensemble portfolio optimization framework for broad commodity assets
Li,Yuze1,2; Jiang,Shangrong1; Wei,Yunjie2,3; Wang,Shouyang1,2,3
2021-08-16
Source PublicationFinancial Innovation
Volume7Issue:1
AbstractAbstractThe emergence and growing popularity of Bitcoins have attracted the attention of the financial world. However, few empirical studies have considered the inclusion of the newly emerged commodity asset in the global commodity market. It is of great importance for investors and policymakers to take advantage of this asset and its potential benefits by incorporating it as a part of the broad commodity trading portfolio. In this study, we propose a novel ensemble portfolio optimization (NEPO) framework utilized for broad commodity assets, which integrates a hybrid variational mode decomposition-bidirectional long short-term memory deep learning model for future returns forecast and a reinforcement learning-based model for optimizing the asset weight allocation. Our empirical results indicate that the NEPO framework could effectively improve the prediction accuracy and trend prediction ability across various commodity assets from different sectors. In addition, it could effectively incorporate Bitcoins into the asset pool and achieve better financial performance compared to traditional asset allocation strategies, commodity funds, and indices.
KeywordPortfolio optimization Bitcoin Deep learning Reinforcement learning Variational mode decomposition
DOI10.1186/s40854-021-00281-x
Language英语
WOS IDBMC:10.1186/s40854-021-00281-x
PublisherSpringer Berlin Heidelberg
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Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/58515
Collection中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
Corresponding AuthorWei,Yunjie
Affiliation1.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences; School of Economics and Management
2.Chinese Academy of Sciences; Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science
3.Chinese Academy of Sciences; Center for Forecasting Science
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li,Yuze,Jiang,Shangrong,Wei,Yunjie,et al. Take Bitcoin into your portfolio: a novel ensemble portfolio optimization framework for broad commodity assets[J]. Financial Innovation,2021,7(1).
APA Li,Yuze,Jiang,Shangrong,Wei,Yunjie,&Wang,Shouyang.(2021).Take Bitcoin into your portfolio: a novel ensemble portfolio optimization framework for broad commodity assets.Financial Innovation,7(1).
MLA Li,Yuze,et al."Take Bitcoin into your portfolio: a novel ensemble portfolio optimization framework for broad commodity assets".Financial Innovation 7.1(2021).
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