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Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19
Wang, Ruoyu1,2; Wang, Qihua1,2
2021-03-02
Source PublicationBIOMETRICS
ISSN0006-341X
Pages10
AbstractQuarantine measure is a commonly used nonpharmaceutical intervention during the outbreak of infectious diseases. A key problem for implementing quarantine measure is to determine the duration of the quarantine. Different from the existing methods that determine a constant quarantine duration for everyone, we develop an individualized quarantine rule that suggests different quarantine durations for individuals with different characteristics. The proposed quarantine rule is optimal in the sense that it minimizes the average quarantine duration of uninfected people with the constraint that the probability of symptom presentation for infected people attains the given value closing to 1. The optimal solution for the quarantine duration is obtained and estimated by some statistical methods with application to analyzing COVID-19 data.
Keywordincubation period kernel estimation maximum likelihood optimal solution probability constraint statistical modeling
DOI10.1111/biom.13444
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Natural Science Foundation of China[11871460] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[61621003] ; Key Lab of Random Complex Structure and Data Science, CAS
WOS Research AreaLife Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics ; Mathematical & Computational Biology ; Mathematics
WOS SubjectBiology ; Mathematical & Computational Biology ; Statistics & Probability
WOS IDWOS:000624322700001
PublisherWILEY
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Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/58159
Collection应用数学研究所
Corresponding AuthorWang, Qihua
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Wang, Ruoyu,Wang, Qihua. Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19[J]. BIOMETRICS,2021:10.
APA Wang, Ruoyu,&Wang, Qihua.(2021).Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19.BIOMETRICS,10.
MLA Wang, Ruoyu,et al."Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19".BIOMETRICS (2021):10.
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