Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19

doi:10.1111/biom.13444

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	Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19
	Wang, Ruoyu 1,2; Wang, Qihua1,2
	2021-03-02
发表期刊	BIOMETRICS
ISSN	0006-341X
页码	10
摘要	Quarantine measure is a commonly used nonpharmaceutical intervention during the outbreak of infectious diseases. A key problem for implementing quarantine measure is to determine the duration of the quarantine. Different from the existing methods that determine a constant quarantine duration for everyone, we develop an individualized quarantine rule that suggests different quarantine durations for individuals with different characteristics. The proposed quarantine rule is optimal in the sense that it minimizes the average quarantine duration of uninfected people with the constraint that the probability of symptom presentation for infected people attains the given value closing to 1. The optimal solution for the quarantine duration is obtained and estimated by some statistical methods with application to analyzing COVID-19 data.
关键词	incubation period kernel estimation maximum likelihood optimal solution probability constraint statistical modeling
DOI	10.1111/biom.13444
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[11871460] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[61621003] ; Key Lab of Random Complex Structure and Data Science, CAS
WOS研究方向	Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics ; Mathematical & Computational Biology ; Mathematics
WOS类目	Biology ; Mathematical & Computational Biology ; Statistics & Probability
WOS记录号	WOS:000624322700001
出版者	WILEY
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/58159
专题	应用数学研究所
通讯作者	Wang, Qihua
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Ruoyu,Wang, Qihua. Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19[J]. BIOMETRICS,2021:10.
APA	Wang, Ruoyu,&Wang, Qihua.(2021).Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19.BIOMETRICS,10.
MLA	Wang, Ruoyu,et al."Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19".BIOMETRICS (2021):10.