China's Energy Consumption in the New Normal

doi:10.1029/2018EF000840

CSpace

	China's Energy Consumption in the New Normal
	Mi, Zhifu 1; Zheng, Jiali 2,3; Meng, Jing 4,5; Shan, Yuli 6; Zheng, Heran 6; Ou, Jiamin 6; Guan, Dabo 6; Wei, Yi-Ming 7,8
	2018-07-01
发表期刊	EARTHS FUTURE
ISSN	2328-4277
卷号	6 期号:7 页码:1007-1016
摘要	Energy consumption is one of main reasons for global warming and highly correlated with economic development. As the largest energy consumer worldwide, China has entered a new economic development modelthe new normal. This study aims to explore the pattern shift in China's energy consumption growth in this new development phase. We use structural decomposition analysis and environmentally extended input-output analysis to decompose China's energy consumption changes during 2005-2012 into five factors: population, efficiency, production structure, consumption patterns, and consumption volume. During the period of the global financial crisis, the energy consumption generated by China's exports dropped, while the energy consumption generated by capital formation grew rapidly. Over three quarters of China's energy consumption growth was caused by capital formation during 2007-2010. This growth is mainly because of China's economic stimulus measures in response to the global recession, with a focus on infrastructure construction. In the new normal, the strongest factors offsetting China's energy consumption have been shifting from efficiency gains to structural changes. Efficiency gains were the strongest factor offsetting China's energy consumption in traditional development model and offset 42% of energy consumption between 2005 and 2010 by keeping other driving forces constant. Since 2010, however, their effects offsetting energy have become weak. The production structure and consumption patterns both drove China's energy consumption growth in the traditional development model and drove energy consumption growth by 31% and 12% between 2005 and 2010, respectively. Since 2010, however, both factors have started to offset China's energy consumption.
关键词	energy consumption China input-output analysis SDA new normal
DOI	10.1029/2018EF000840
语种	英语
资助项目	National Key R&D Program of China[2016YFA0602604] ; National Key R&D Program of China[2016YFA0602603] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[41629501] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[71761137001] ; UK Economic and Social Research Council[ES/L016028/1] ; Natural Environment Research Council[NE/N00714X/1]
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000441239300006
出版者	AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/30822
专题	中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者	Meng, Jing; Shan, Yuli; Guan, Dabo
作者单位	1.UCL, Bartlett Sch Construct & Project Management, London, England 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Univ Cambridge, Dept Polit & Int Studies, Cambridge, England 5.Univ Cambridge, Dept Land Econ, Cambridge Ctr Environm Energy & Nat Resource Gove, Cambridge, England 6.Univ East Anglia, Sch Int Dev, Water Secur Res Ctr, Norwich, Norfolk, England 7.Beijing Inst Technol, Ctr Energy & Environm Policy Res, Beijing, Peoples R China 8.Beijing Inst Technol, Sch Management & Econ, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Mi, Zhifu,Zheng, Jiali,Meng, Jing,et al. China's Energy Consumption in the New Normal[J]. EARTHS FUTURE,2018,6(7):1007-1016.
APA	Mi, Zhifu.,Zheng, Jiali.,Meng, Jing.,Shan, Yuli.,Zheng, Heran.,...&Wei, Yi-Ming.(2018).China's Energy Consumption in the New Normal.EARTHS FUTURE,6(7),1007-1016.
MLA	Mi, Zhifu,et al."China's Energy Consumption in the New Normal".EARTHS FUTURE 6.7(2018):1007-1016.