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Analysis on shock effect of China's high-speed railway on aviation transport
Chai, Jian1; Zhou, Youhong2; Zhou, Xiaoyang2; Wang, Shouyang3; Zhang, Zhe George4; Liu, Zenghui4
2018-02-01
发表期刊TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART A-POLICY AND PRACTICE
ISSN0965-8564
卷号108页码:35-44
摘要As China's high-speed railway featured by low-carbon quick prospers rapidly, railway transport has been regarded as a crucial means to replace the aviation transport. Selecting the data from 156 routes of China's 48 major cities from 2001 to 2014, the paper takes the aviation mileage as the threshold variable and the operation time as the control variable to build a panel threshold regression model. Firstly, under the consideration of the economic, demographic, environmental and railway indicators, the paper analyzes the influence of China's railway on the aviation passenger volume and the flight number; secondly, under the condition that the railway speed is more than 250 km/h, the paper analyzes the shock effect of China's high-speed railway on aviation transport. The conclusion shows that the higher the level of the economic development is, the more developed the aviation transport of the region will be. when the aviation mileage is below 1132 km, as the aviation mileage increases, the influence of China's railway to the aviation transport fall into a decline; China's high-speed railway has a positive shock effect on the aviation transport, and the shock effect reaches the maximum when the aviation mileage is from 650 to 755 km. This paper is of great practical significance to study the optimization of transportation structure.
关键词China's high-speed railway Aviation transport Aviation mileage Panel threshold regression model
DOI10.1016/j.tra.2017.12.001
语种英语
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)[71473155] ; New Star of Youth Science and Technology Plan Project in Shaanxi Province, China[2016KJXX-14] ; Shaanxi Normal University College Basic Scientific Research Special Support Project[14SZTZ03] ; Xidian University[7215628803]
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Transportation
WOS类目Economics ; Transportation ; Transportation Science & Technology
WOS记录号WOS:000427214400004
出版者PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/29925
专题系统科学研究所
通讯作者Zhou, Youhong
作者单位1.Xidian Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Xian 710126, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
2.Shaanxi Normal Univ, Int Business Sch, 620 Guo Du Town,West Changan Ave, Xian 710119, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Western Washington Univ, Coll Business & Econ, 516 High St, Bellingham, WA 98225 USA
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GB/T 7714
Chai, Jian,Zhou, Youhong,Zhou, Xiaoyang,et al. Analysis on shock effect of China's high-speed railway on aviation transport[J]. TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART A-POLICY AND PRACTICE,2018,108:35-44.
APA Chai, Jian,Zhou, Youhong,Zhou, Xiaoyang,Wang, Shouyang,Zhang, Zhe George,&Liu, Zenghui.(2018).Analysis on shock effect of China's high-speed railway on aviation transport.TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART A-POLICY AND PRACTICE,108,35-44.
MLA Chai, Jian,et al."Analysis on shock effect of China's high-speed railway on aviation transport".TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART A-POLICY AND PRACTICE 108(2018):35-44.
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