Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs

doi:10.1007/s11027-017-9739-y

CSpace > 系统科学研究所

	Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs
	Duan, Hongbo 1; Zhang, Gupeng 2; Wang, Shouyang1,3 ; Fan, Ying 4
	2018-03-01
发表期刊	MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
ISSN	1381-2386
卷号	23 期号:3 页码:387-403
摘要	In this study, we incorporate a three-reservoir climate module into our energy-economy-environmental integrated (3E-integrated) system model, in order to estimate the effect of China's contribution of unilateral emissions on global warming and to weigh the macro-mitigation cost against the risk of damage, and we also explore the role of adaptation in reducing climate change risk. Our results suggest that China's unilateral emission-control action plays a relatively limited role in mitigating global warming and is not particularly cost-effective, given that the macro-reduction cost is much larger than the benefit in the corresponding climate damage mitigation. Adaptation plays a large role in curbing China's climate damages and improving the economics of China's unilateral emission-control actions, and it is little affected by the introduction and option mitigation strategies. To prevent global warming from exceeding critical thresholds, more international collaborations and cooperative efforts are therefore anxiously needed; as for China, bolstering a low-carbon economy and installing an effective mechanism for improving the adaptation level are two feasible options for controlling climate damage risks, given the great uncertainty on the present situation of international cooperation mitigation.
关键词	Integrated assessment model Climate damage evaluation Adaptation Unilateral emission control action Cost-benefit analysis
DOI	10.1007/s11027-017-9739-y
语种	英语
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[71503242] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71402175] ; Ministry of Education, Humanities and Social Sciences Youth Fund Project[14YJC630029]
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000424030100004
出版者	SPRINGER
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/29507
专题	系统科学研究所
通讯作者	Zhang, Gupeng
作者单位	1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Publ Policy & Management, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 4.Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,et al. Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs[J]. MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,2018,23(3):387-403.
APA	Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,&Fan, Ying.(2018).Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs.MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,23(3),387-403.
MLA	Duan, Hongbo,et al."Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs".MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE 23.3(2018):387-403.