KMS Of Academy of mathematics and systems sciences, CAS
Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs | |
Duan, Hongbo1; Zhang, Gupeng2; Wang, Shouyang1,3; Fan, Ying4 | |
2018-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE |
ISSN | 1381-2386 |
卷号 | 23期号:3页码:387-403 |
摘要 | In this study, we incorporate a three-reservoir climate module into our energy-economy-environmental integrated (3E-integrated) system model, in order to estimate the effect of China's contribution of unilateral emissions on global warming and to weigh the macro-mitigation cost against the risk of damage, and we also explore the role of adaptation in reducing climate change risk. Our results suggest that China's unilateral emission-control action plays a relatively limited role in mitigating global warming and is not particularly cost-effective, given that the macro-reduction cost is much larger than the benefit in the corresponding climate damage mitigation. Adaptation plays a large role in curbing China's climate damages and improving the economics of China's unilateral emission-control actions, and it is little affected by the introduction and option mitigation strategies. To prevent global warming from exceeding critical thresholds, more international collaborations and cooperative efforts are therefore anxiously needed; as for China, bolstering a low-carbon economy and installing an effective mechanism for improving the adaptation level are two feasible options for controlling climate damage risks, given the great uncertainty on the present situation of international cooperation mitigation. |
关键词 | Integrated assessment model Climate damage evaluation Adaptation Unilateral emission control action Cost-benefit analysis |
DOI | 10.1007/s11027-017-9739-y |
语种 | 英语 |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[71503242] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71402175] ; Ministry of Education, Humanities and Social Sciences Youth Fund Project[14YJC630029] |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000424030100004 |
出版者 | SPRINGER |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/29507 |
专题 | 系统科学研究所 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Gupeng |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Publ Policy & Management, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 4.Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,et al. Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs[J]. MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,2018,23(3):387-403. |
APA | Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,&Fan, Ying.(2018).Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs.MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,23(3),387-403. |
MLA | Duan, Hongbo,et al."Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs".MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE 23.3(2018):387-403. |
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