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Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs
Duan, Hongbo1; Zhang, Gupeng2; Wang, Shouyang1,3; Fan, Ying4
2018-03-01
Source PublicationMITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
ISSN1381-2386
Volume23Issue:3Pages:387-403
AbstractIn this study, we incorporate a three-reservoir climate module into our energy-economy-environmental integrated (3E-integrated) system model, in order to estimate the effect of China's contribution of unilateral emissions on global warming and to weigh the macro-mitigation cost against the risk of damage, and we also explore the role of adaptation in reducing climate change risk. Our results suggest that China's unilateral emission-control action plays a relatively limited role in mitigating global warming and is not particularly cost-effective, given that the macro-reduction cost is much larger than the benefit in the corresponding climate damage mitigation. Adaptation plays a large role in curbing China's climate damages and improving the economics of China's unilateral emission-control actions, and it is little affected by the introduction and option mitigation strategies. To prevent global warming from exceeding critical thresholds, more international collaborations and cooperative efforts are therefore anxiously needed; as for China, bolstering a low-carbon economy and installing an effective mechanism for improving the adaptation level are two feasible options for controlling climate damage risks, given the great uncertainty on the present situation of international cooperation mitigation.
KeywordIntegrated assessment model Climate damage evaluation Adaptation Unilateral emission control action Cost-benefit analysis
DOI10.1007/s11027-017-9739-y
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Natural Science Foundation of China[71503242] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71402175] ; Ministry of Education, Humanities and Social Sciences Youth Fund Project[14YJC630029]
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000424030100004
PublisherSPRINGER
Citation statistics
Cited Times:1[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/29507
Collection系统科学研究所
Affiliation1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Publ Policy & Management, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,et al. Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs[J]. MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,2018,23(3):387-403.
APA Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,&Fan, Ying.(2018).Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs.MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,23(3),387-403.
MLA Duan, Hongbo,et al."Balancing China's climate damage risk against emission control costs".MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE 23.3(2018):387-403.
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