KMS Of Academy of mathematics and systems sciences, CAS
Fuel efficiency and emission in China's road transport sector: Induced effect and rebound effect | |
Chai, Jian1,2; Yang, Ying3; Wang, Shouyang2,4; Lai, Kin Keung5 | |
2016-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE |
ISSN | 0040-1625 |
卷号 | 112页码:188-197 |
摘要 | The main objective of this paper is to analysis how endogenous road capacity, in term of an increase in road accessibility and traffic demand ("induced effect"), exogenous efficiency policies and technological progress, in term of an increase in fuel efficiency ("rebound effect"), affect fuel consumption and thereby exhaust emission finally, the empirical estimate a simultaneous equations system of the road traffic demand, fuel consumption, exhaust emission, using the annual data of 1985-2013, we discuss the transmission mechanism of effects caused by road capacity and fuel efficiency policies, and we estimate the induced effect and rebound effect further than the previous studies, and found that the rebound effect and induced effect in China are larger than most studies of the U.S. We also prove the effectiveness of fuel efficiency policies to improve fuel efficiency, however, little help to reduce vehicle emission. In view of the pricing policy, we found that high price of new vehicle cannot inhibit Chinese demand for cars currently, what's more, rising fuel price did not encourage people to purchase energy-saving vehicles in China. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. |
关键词 | Road traffic system Vehicle emission Fuel efficiency Rebound effect Induced effect Policies |
DOI | 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.005 |
语种 | 英语 |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)[71473155] ; NSFC[71390335] ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation special funds project[2014T70130] ; Shaanxi Normal University college basic scientific research special support project[14SZTZ03] |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Public Administration |
WOS类目 | Business ; Planning & Development |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000387192100021 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/24075 |
专题 | 系统科学研究所 |
通讯作者 | Yang, Ying |
作者单位 | 1.Xidian Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Xian 710126, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 3.Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710049, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 5.City Univ Hong Kong, Coll Business, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chai, Jian,Yang, Ying,Wang, Shouyang,et al. Fuel efficiency and emission in China's road transport sector: Induced effect and rebound effect[J]. TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE,2016,112:188-197. |
APA | Chai, Jian,Yang, Ying,Wang, Shouyang,&Lai, Kin Keung.(2016).Fuel efficiency and emission in China's road transport sector: Induced effect and rebound effect.TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE,112,188-197. |
MLA | Chai, Jian,et al."Fuel efficiency and emission in China's road transport sector: Induced effect and rebound effect".TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE 112(2016):188-197. |
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