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A Model of Optimal Interval for Anti-Mosquito Campaign Based on Stochastic Process
Lei, Bingyin1; Gao, Kaiye1,2; Yang, Li3; Fang, Shu4,5
2022-02-01
发表期刊MATHEMATICS
卷号10期号:3页码:12
摘要Mosquito control is very important, in particular, for tropical countries. The purpose of mosquito control is to decrease the number of mosquitos such that the mosquitos transmitted diseases can be reduced. However, mosquito control can be costly, thus there is a trade-off between the cost for mosquito control and the cost for mosquitos transmitted diseases. A model is proposed based on renewal theory in this paper to describe the process of mosquitos' growth, with consideration of the mosquitos transmitted diseases growth process and the corresponding diseases treatment cost. Through this model, the total mosquitos control cost of different strategies can be estimated. The optimal mosquito control strategy that minimizes the expected total cost is studied. A numerical example and corresponding sensitivity analyses are proposed to illustrate the applications.
关键词healthcare mosquito control diseases dengue cost minimization interval
DOI10.3390/math10030440
收录类别SCI
语种英语
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[72001027] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72071005] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72101010] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72001078] ; Beijing Municipal Commission of Education[KM202111232007]
WOS研究方向Mathematics
WOS类目Mathematics
WOS记录号WOS:000760551700001
出版者MDPI
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/60024
专题中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者Gao, Kaiye
作者单位1.Beijing Informat Sci & Technol Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Beihang Univ, Sch Reliabil & Syst Engn, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Beijing Emergency Management Bur, Beijing 101100, Peoples R China
5.Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China
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Lei, Bingyin,Gao, Kaiye,Yang, Li,et al. A Model of Optimal Interval for Anti-Mosquito Campaign Based on Stochastic Process[J]. MATHEMATICS,2022,10(3):12.
APA Lei, Bingyin,Gao, Kaiye,Yang, Li,&Fang, Shu.(2022).A Model of Optimal Interval for Anti-Mosquito Campaign Based on Stochastic Process.MATHEMATICS,10(3),12.
MLA Lei, Bingyin,et al."A Model of Optimal Interval for Anti-Mosquito Campaign Based on Stochastic Process".MATHEMATICS 10.3(2022):12.
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