The impact of China's low-carbon transition on economy, society and energy in 2030 based on CO2 emissions drivers

doi:10.1016/j.energy.2021.122336

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	The impact of China's low-carbon transition on economy, society and energy in 2030 based on CO2 emissions drivers
	Shi, Huiting 1; Chai, Jian 2; Lu, Quanying 3; Zheng, Jiali 4,5; Wang, Shouyang 1,3
	2022-01-15
发表期刊	ENERGY
ISSN	0360-5442
卷号	239 页码:12
摘要	China has become the world's largest carbon dioxide emitter and energy consumer, with serious environmental problems. Therefore, low-carbon economy has become the best choice for its development. In this paper, the economy, society, energy and environment are taken into account to build a low-carbon economy system (LCE). It is used to analyze the drivers of CO2 emissions and impact of low-carbon transition in China. Bayesian network and scenario analysis are applied. The results show that the increase of per capita consumption expenditure, energy consumption per unit of GDP, energy consumption per capita and CO2 emissions per capita is the reason for the continuous growth of CO2 emissions; the improve of energy efficiency, CO2 emissions per unit of GDP and CO2 emissions per unit of energy consumption inhibits CO2 emissions. China's low-carbon development does not come at the expense of its economic growth. Actually, the low-carbon transition is accompanied by the growth of population, consumer spending, energy consumption and energy efficiency. Urbanization rate will be up to 75.70%-97.44%. Compared with 2017, energy efficiency increases by 4.51%; energy consumption per unit of GDP reduces by 0.4%. Transformation of energy subsystem is the key to a low-carbon road. (C) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
关键词	CO2 emissions Low-carbon economy Transition impact Bayesian network
DOI	10.1016/j.energy.2021.122336
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS类目	Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS记录号	WOS:000711154600004
出版者	PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/59511
专题	中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者	Chai, Jian; Wang, Shouyang
作者单位	1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Xidian Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Xian 710071, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 10080, Peoples R China 4.Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710049, Peoples R China 5.UCL, Bartlett Sch Construct & Project Management, London WC1E 7HB, England
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shi, Huiting,Chai, Jian,Lu, Quanying,et al. The impact of China's low-carbon transition on economy, society and energy in 2030 based on CO2 emissions drivers[J]. ENERGY,2022,239:12.
APA	Shi, Huiting,Chai, Jian,Lu, Quanying,Zheng, Jiali,&Wang, Shouyang.(2022).The impact of China's low-carbon transition on economy, society and energy in 2030 based on CO2 emissions drivers.ENERGY,239,12.
MLA	Shi, Huiting,et al."The impact of China's low-carbon transition on economy, society and energy in 2030 based on CO2 emissions drivers".ENERGY 239(2022):12.