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Estimating the reaction of Bitcoin prices to the uncertainty of fiat currency
Jin, Xuejun1; Zhu, Keer1; Yang, Xiaolan2; Wang, Shouyang3,4
2021-12-01
Source PublicationRESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE
ISSN0275-5319
Volume58Pages:16
AbstractRecent studies have found that investors move from fiat currencies to Bitcoin cryptocurrency in environments with low trust and high uncertainty. This paper investigates the reaction of Bitcoin prices to uncertainty concerning fiat currencies by introducing a complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN)-based event analysis approach. The 2013 Cyprus bailout is used as an event over the uncertainty of fiat currencies. With the proposed approach, the original Bitcoin price series is decomposed into high-frequency, low-frequency, and trend components, thus disentangling the short-, medium-, and long-term effects of the events on Bitcoin prices, respectively. We find that the low-frequency component is dominant and increased because of the event. In addition, the announcement significantly increased the intensity of shortterm fluctuations in Bitcoin prices. However, there was no structural change in Bitcoin prices in the long-term trend. This paper provides a way to show the reaction of Bitcoin prices to the uncertainty of fiat currencies at different time scales and suggests that the reaction is mainly captured by the medium-term trend.
KeywordBitcoin Fiat currency Empirical mode decomposition Event analysis
DOI10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101451
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNatural Science Foundation of China[71873089] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[71988101] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[G030202]
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance
WOS IDWOS:000696994500005
PublisherELSEVIER
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/59297
Collection中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
Corresponding AuthorYang, Xiaolan
Affiliation1.Zhejiang Univ, Coll Econ, Hangzhou, Peoples R China
2.Shanghai Int Studies Univ, Sch Business & Management, Shanghai, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Jin, Xuejun,Zhu, Keer,Yang, Xiaolan,et al. Estimating the reaction of Bitcoin prices to the uncertainty of fiat currency[J]. RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE,2021,58:16.
APA Jin, Xuejun,Zhu, Keer,Yang, Xiaolan,&Wang, Shouyang.(2021).Estimating the reaction of Bitcoin prices to the uncertainty of fiat currency.RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE,58,16.
MLA Jin, Xuejun,et al."Estimating the reaction of Bitcoin prices to the uncertainty of fiat currency".RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE 58(2021):16.
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