Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112150

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	Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission
	Xiao, Jin 1,2; Li, Guohao 1,2; Xie, Ling 3; Wang, Shouyang 4; Yu, Lean 5
	2021-03-01
发表期刊	ENERGY POLICY
ISSN	0301-4215
卷号	150 页码:14
摘要	The power sector has tremendous technological potential for decarbonization, hence, the decarbonization of China's power sector is crucial to the successful implementation of national carbon emissions reduction plan. In this study, a decarbonization model with consideration of both technological progress and cross-regional power transmission for China's power sector is built to explore the potential and possible pathway of decarbonization under the constraint of optimal cost. The model is operated at different carbon prices in three economic growth scenarios. Our findings show that the power generation structure is undergoing a shift from coal power to hydropower, nuclear power, and wind power, and both the coal power generation and carbon emissions can peak by 2030. Carbon pricing can speed up this process and reduce the peak height. Additionally, an appropriate carbon price has a significant promoting effect on decarbonization in the power sector; we conclude that the optimal carbon price is 21 USD/t. Moreover, the higher the economic development level, the lower the final average cost of power generation mix and the more significant the carbon emissions reduction, which implies that it is more cost-effective to carry out decarbonization related policy in the power sector during the stage of rapid economic growth.
关键词	Decarbonization Power sector Structural optimization Technology learning curve Cross-regional power transmission
DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112150
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
资助项目	Major Project of the National Social Science Foundation of China[18VZL006] ; Key Program of NSFC-FRQ Joint Project[7191101304] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71988101] ; Key Program of NSFC-FRQSC Joint Project (NSFC)[72061127002] ; Excellent Youth Foundation of Sichuan Province[2020JDJQ0021] ; Tianfu Ten-thousand Talents Program of Sichuan Province ; Excellent Youth Foundation of Sichuan University[sksyl201709] ; Leading Cultivation Talents Program of Sichuan University, 2018 Special Project for Cultivation and Innovation of New Academic -Qian Platform Talent[[2018]5772 -012] ; Beike Scholars Program of Beijing Academy of Science and Technology[PXM2020-178216000008] ; Beijing Municipal Finance Project[PXM2020-178216000001]
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:000636259200035
出版者	ELSEVIER SCI LTD
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/58421
专题	中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者	Xiao, Jin; Yu, Lean
作者单位	1.Sichuan Univ, Business Sch, Chengdu 610064, Peoples R China 2.Sichuan Univ, Management Sci & Operat Res Inst, Chengdu 610064, Peoples R China 3.Zunyi Med Univ, Sch Med Informat Engn, Zunyi 563006, Guizhou, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 5.Beijing Univ Chem Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xiao, Jin,Li, Guohao,Xie, Ling,et al. Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2021,150:14.
APA	Xiao, Jin,Li, Guohao,Xie, Ling,Wang, Shouyang,&Yu, Lean.(2021).Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission.ENERGY POLICY,150,14.
MLA	Xiao, Jin,et al."Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission".ENERGY POLICY 150(2021):14.