KMS Of Academy of mathematics and systems sciences, CAS
| A new decomposition ensemble approach for tourism demand forecasting: Evidence from major source countries in Asia-Pacific region | |
| Zhang, Chengyuan1; Jiang, Fuxin2,3; Wang, Shouyang2,3; Sun, Shaolong4 | |
| 2021-03-12 | |
| Source Publication | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM RESEARCH
 |
| ISSN | 1099-2340 |
| Pages | 14 |
| Abstract | Previous studies have shown that different market factors influence tourism demand at different timescales. Accordingly, we propose the decomposition ensemble learning approach to analyze impact of different market factors on tourism demand, and explore the potential advantages of the proposed method on forecasting tourism demand in Asia-Pacific region. By decomposing tourist arrivals with noise-assisted multivariate empirical mode decomposition, this study further explores the multiscale relationship between tourist destinations and major source countries. The empirical results show that decomposition ensemble approach performs significantly better than benchmarks in terms of the level forecasting accuracy and directional forecasting accuracy. |
| Keyword | artificial intelligence Asia‐ Pacific region decomposition ensemble approach NA‐ MEMD tourism demand forecasting |
| DOI | 10.1002/jtr.2445 |
| Indexed By | SCI |
| Language | 英语 |
| Funding Project | National Natural Science Foundation of China[71988101] ; Academic Excellence Foundation of BUAA for PhD Students |
| WOS Research Area | Social Sciences - Other Topics |
| WOS Subject | Hospitality, Leisure, Sport & Tourism |
| WOS ID | WOS:000628027800001 |
| Publisher | WILEY |
| Citation statistics | |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/58243 |
| Collection | 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 |
| Corresponding Author | Sun, Shaolong |
| Affiliation | 1.Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710049, Peoples R China |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Chengyuan,Jiang, Fuxin,Wang, Shouyang,et al. A new decomposition ensemble approach for tourism demand forecasting: Evidence from major source countries in Asia-Pacific region[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM RESEARCH,2021:14. |
| APA | Zhang, Chengyuan,Jiang, Fuxin,Wang, Shouyang,&Sun, Shaolong.(2021).A new decomposition ensemble approach for tourism demand forecasting: Evidence from major source countries in Asia-Pacific region.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM RESEARCH,14. |
| MLA | Zhang, Chengyuan,et al."A new decomposition ensemble approach for tourism demand forecasting: Evidence from major source countries in Asia-Pacific region".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM RESEARCH (2021):14. |
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