KMS Of Academy of mathematics and systems sciences, CAS
| Relationship between increase rate of human plague in China and global climate index as revealed by cross-spectral and cross-wavelet analyses | |
Zhang, Zhibin1; Li, Zhenqing2; Tao, Yi1; Chen, Min3 ; Wen, Xinyu4; Xu, Lei1; Tian, Huidong1; Stenseth, Nils Chr5
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| 2007-09-01 | |
| Source Publication | INTEGRATIVE ZOOLOGY
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| ISSN | 1749-4877 |
| Volume | 2Issue:3Pages:144-153 |
| Abstract | Plague has caused the death of hundreds of millions of people throughout the human history. Today this disease is again re-emerging and hence is again becoming an increasing threat to human health in several parts of the world. However, impacts of global climate variation (e.g. El Nino and Southern Oscillation [ENSO]) and global warming on plagues are largely unknown. Using cross-spectral analysis and cross-wavelet analysis, we have analyzed the relationship between increase rate of human plague in China during 1871-2003 and the following climate factors (as measured by the Southern Oscillation Index [SOI], Sea Surface Temperature of east Pacific equator [SST] and air Temperature of the Northern Hemisphere [NHT]). We found in the frequency domain that increase rate of human plague was closely associated with SOI and SST. Cross-spectral analysis reveals that significant coherencies between increase rate of human plague and ENSO were found over short periods (2-3 years), medium periods (6-7 years) and long periods (11-12 years, 30-40 years). Cross-wavelet analysis reveals that increase rate of human plague oscillates in phase with SOI, but in anti-phase with SST over periods of 2-4 years and approximately 8 years (6-10 years). These results indicate that ENSO-driven climate variation may be important for occurrences of human plague in China. However, there is a need for a further analysis of the underlying mechanism between human plague in China and ENSO. |
| Keyword | El Nino/Southern Oscillation global climate variation human plague northern hemisphere air tempe rature sea surface temperature southern oscillation index |
| DOI | 10.1111/j.1749-4877.2007.00061.x |
| Language | 英语 |
| Funding Project | Albert Einstein Professorship ; Chinese Academy of Sciences[GJHZ0701-7] |
| WOS Research Area | Zoology |
| WOS Subject | Zoology |
| WOS ID | WOS:000208683000005 |
| Publisher | WILEY-BLACKWELL |
| Citation statistics | |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/4483 |
| Collection | 应用数学研究所 |
| Corresponding Author | Zhang, Zhibin |
| Affiliation | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Zool, State Key Lab Integrated Management Pest Insects, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, Lab Quantitat Vegetat Ecol, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China 4.Peking Univ, Atmosphere Dept, Coll Phys, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China 5.Univ Oslo, Dept Biol, CEES, Oslo, Norway |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Zhibin,Li, Zhenqing,Tao, Yi,et al. Relationship between increase rate of human plague in China and global climate index as revealed by cross-spectral and cross-wavelet analyses[J]. INTEGRATIVE ZOOLOGY,2007,2(3):144-153. |
| APA | Zhang, Zhibin.,Li, Zhenqing.,Tao, Yi.,Chen, Min.,Wen, Xinyu.,...&Stenseth, Nils Chr.(2007).Relationship between increase rate of human plague in China and global climate index as revealed by cross-spectral and cross-wavelet analyses.INTEGRATIVE ZOOLOGY,2(3),144-153. |
| MLA | Zhang, Zhibin,et al."Relationship between increase rate of human plague in China and global climate index as revealed by cross-spectral and cross-wavelet analyses".INTEGRATIVE ZOOLOGY 2.3(2007):144-153. |
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