KMS Of Academy of mathematics and systems sciences, CAS
Using LMDI method to analyzed the change of China's industrial CO2 emissions from final fuel use: An empirical analysis | |
Liu, Lan-Cui; Fan, Ying; Wu, Gang; Wei, Yi-Ming | |
2007-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
卷号 | 35期号:11页码:5892-5900 |
摘要 | Based on time series decomposition of the Log-Mean Divisia Index (LMDI), this paper analyzes the change of industrial carbon emissions from 36 industrial sectors in China over the period 1998-2005. The changes of industrial CO2 emission are decomposed into carbon emissions coefficients of heat and electricity, energy intensity, industrial structural shift, industrial activity and final fuel shift. Our results clearly show that raw chemical materials and chemical products, nonmetal mineral products and smelting and pressing of ferrous metals account for 59.31% of total increased industrial CO2 emissions. The overwhelming contributors to the change of China's industrial sectors' carbon emissions in the period 1998-2005 were the industrial activity and energy intensity; the impact of emission coefficients of heat and electricity, fuel shift and structural shift was relatively small. Over the year 1998-2002, the energy intensity change in some energy-intensive sectors decreased industrial emissions, but increased emissions over the period 2002-2005. The impact of structural shift on emissions have varied considerably over the years without showing any clear trend, and the final fuel shift increased industrial emissions because of the increase of electricity share and higher emissions coefficient. Therefore, raw chemical materials and chemical products, nonmetal mineral products and smelting and pressing of ferrous metals should be among the top priorities for enhancing energy efficiency and driving their energy intensity close to the international advanced level. To some degree, we should reduce the products waste of these sectors, mitigate the growth of demand for their products through avoiding the excessive investment highly related to these sectors, increasing imports or decreasing the export in order to avoid expanding their share in total industrial value added. However, all these should integrate economic growth to harmonize industrial development and CO2 emission reduction. (C) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
关键词 | industrial CO2 emission energy intensity change industrial structural activity |
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2007.07.010 |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS类目 | Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000250545300062 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/4460 |
专题 | 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 |
通讯作者 | Wei, Yi-Ming |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Policy & Management, Ctr Energy & Environm Policy Res, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Forecasting Sci, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Lan-Cui,Fan, Ying,Wu, Gang,et al. Using LMDI method to analyzed the change of China's industrial CO2 emissions from final fuel use: An empirical analysis[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2007,35(11):5892-5900. |
APA | Liu, Lan-Cui,Fan, Ying,Wu, Gang,&Wei, Yi-Ming.(2007).Using LMDI method to analyzed the change of China's industrial CO2 emissions from final fuel use: An empirical analysis.ENERGY POLICY,35(11),5892-5900. |
MLA | Liu, Lan-Cui,et al."Using LMDI method to analyzed the change of China's industrial CO2 emissions from final fuel use: An empirical analysis".ENERGY POLICY 35.11(2007):5892-5900. |
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