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Regional development and carbon emissions in China
Zheng, Jiali1,2,3; Mi, Zhifu1; Coffman, D'Maris1; Milcheva, Stanimira1; Shan, Yuli4; Guan, Dabo4,5; Wang, Shouyang2,3
Source PublicationENERGY ECONOMICS
AbstractChina announced at the Paris Climate Change Conference in 2015 that the country would reach peak carbon emissions around 2030. Since then, widespread attention has been devoted to determining when and how this goal will be achieved. This study aims to explore the role of China's changing regional development patterns in the achievement of this goal. This study uses the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) to estimate seven socioeconomic drivers of the changes in CO2 emissions in China since 2000. The results show that China's carbon emissions have plateaued since 2012 mainly because of energy efficiency gains and structural upgrades (i.e., industrial structure, energy mix and regional structure). Regional structure, measured by provincial economic growth shares, has drastically reduced CO2 emissions since 2012. The effects of these drivers on emissions changes varied across regions due to their different regional development patterns. Industrial structure and energy mix resulted in emissions growth in some regions, but these two drivers led to emissions reduction at the national level. For example, industrial structure reduced China's CO2 emissions by 1.0% from 2013 to 2016; however, it increased CO2 emissions in the Northeast and Northwest regions by 1.7% and 0.9%, respectively. Studying China's plateauing CO2 emissions in the new normal stage at the regional level yields a strong recommendation that China's regions cooperate to improve development patterns. (C) 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
KeywordCO2 emissions LMDI Regional development Structural changes New normal China
Funding ProjectNational Key R&D Program of China[2016YEA0602604] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[71761137001] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[41629501] ; UK Economic and Social Research Council[ES/L016028/1] ; Natural Environment Research Council[NE/N00714X/1] ; British Academy Grant[AF150310]
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectEconomics
WOS IDWOS:000478710000003
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Corresponding AuthorMi, Zhifu; Wang, Shouyang
Affiliation1.UCL, Bartlett Sch Construct & Project Management, London WC1E 7HB, England
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Univ East Anglia, Sch Int Dev, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
5.Beijing Inst Technol, Ctr Energy & Environm Policy Res, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zheng, Jiali,Mi, Zhifu,Coffman, D'Maris,et al. Regional development and carbon emissions in China[J]. ENERGY ECONOMICS,2019,81:25-36.
APA Zheng, Jiali.,Mi, Zhifu.,Coffman, D'Maris.,Milcheva, Stanimira.,Shan, Yuli.,...&Wang, Shouyang.(2019).Regional development and carbon emissions in China.ENERGY ECONOMICS,81,25-36.
MLA Zheng, Jiali,et al."Regional development and carbon emissions in China".ENERGY ECONOMICS 81(2019):25-36.
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