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Decision Biases of Strategic Customers with Private Product-Value Information: An Experimental Study
Song, Yanan1,2; Zhao, Xiaobo3; Zhu, Wanshan3; Chen, Yefen4
2019-05-01
发表期刊PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
ISSN1059-1478
卷号28期号:5页码:1305-1319
摘要We consider a random number of strategic customers who compete for a limited stock of products, and decide whether to buy a product at full price now or at a discount price by waiting until the end of the selling season. This decision is not trivial, as waiting leads to not only a lower cost, but also less value due to a possible stockout caused by the limited product quantity. The equilibrium analysis of the competition game based on a theoretical model predicts that strategic customers wait for the discount price when their private product valuations at the end of the selling season are above a threshold. We conduct a laboratory experiment to study strategic customers' decisions and find that significantly fewer customers wait than predicted when the stock quantity is high, but not when the stock quantity is low. Our behavioral models with their structural estimates reveal that the strategic customers' behavior is caused by decision biases of bounded rationality and risk aversion. These findings imply that a retailer should take account of decision biases when deciding on the optimal stock quantity because the decision biases of strategic customers benefit the retailer when stock quantity is high, but may not benefit them when stock quantity is low.
关键词strategic customer game experiment decision bias
DOI10.1111/poms.12989
语种英语
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[71761137004] ; Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China[2017M620941] ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation[2017LH042] ; National Natural Science of China[71501004] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences Joint Funding for Outstanding Postdoctoral Programs[2017LH042]
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS类目Engineering, Manufacturing ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS记录号WOS:000467569300014
出版者WILEY
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/34656
专题中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者Zhu, Wanshan
作者单位1.Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Donlinks Sch Econ & Management, 30 Xueyuan Rd, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, 55 Zhongguancun East Rd, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
3.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Ind Engn, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
4.Cainiao Smart Logist Network, Hangzhou 310000, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
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Song, Yanan,Zhao, Xiaobo,Zhu, Wanshan,et al. Decision Biases of Strategic Customers with Private Product-Value Information: An Experimental Study[J]. PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT,2019,28(5):1305-1319.
APA Song, Yanan,Zhao, Xiaobo,Zhu, Wanshan,&Chen, Yefen.(2019).Decision Biases of Strategic Customers with Private Product-Value Information: An Experimental Study.PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT,28(5),1305-1319.
MLA Song, Yanan,et al."Decision Biases of Strategic Customers with Private Product-Value Information: An Experimental Study".PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT 28.5(2019):1305-1319.
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