Spatio-temporal simulation of energy consumption in China's provinces based on satellite night-time light data

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.09.200

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	Spatio-temporal simulation of energy consumption in China's provinces based on satellite night-time light data
	Xiao, Hongwei 1,2; Ma, Zhongyu 3,4; Mi, Zhifu 5; Kelsey, John 5; Zheng, Jiali 5,6,7; Yin, Weihua 1; Yan, Min 1
	2018-12-01
发表期刊	APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN	0306-2619
卷号	231 页码:1070-1078
摘要	Delay in publication of energy statistics prevents a timely assessment of progress towards meeting targets for energy saving and emission reduction in China. This makes it difficult to meet the requirements to rapidly monitor and evaluate energy consumption for each province. In this study, an alternative approach is provided to estimate the energy consumption by using satellite remote sensing data. We develop spatio-temporal geographically weighted regression models to simulate energy consumption of provinces in China based on the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program's Operational Linescan System (DMSP/OLS) global stable night-time light data. The models simulate China's energy consumption accurately with the goodness of fit higher than 99%. Generally, the national average annual energy consumption is 2.8 billion tonnes of coal equivalent in China between 2000 and 2013, which is close to the actual value with errors smaller than 0.1%. From both temporal and spatial dimensions, the relative errors are smaller than 5.5% at the provincial level. Therefore, the use of satellite night-time light data provides a useful reference in monitoring and assessing provincial energy consumption in China.
关键词	Night-time light data Energy consumption Spatio-temporal geographically weighted regression China Simulation
DOI	10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.09.200
语种	英语
资助项目	National Key R&D Program of China[2016YFA0602601] ; Special Items Fund of Beijing Municipal Commission of Education, Beijing Social Science Fund of China ; Program of Beijing Energy Development Research Center[NYJD20170101] ; National Social Science Fund of China[15ZDA011]
WOS研究方向	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
WOS类目	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS记录号	WOS:000452345400082
出版者	ELSEVIER SCI LTD
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/31998
专题	中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者	Mi, Zhifu
作者单位	1.State Informat Ctr, Econ Forecasting Dept, Beijing 100045, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Energy Dev Res Ctr, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China 3.State Informat Ctr, Beijing 100045, Peoples R China 4.Renmin Univ China, Sch Environm & Nat Resources, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China 5.UCL, Bartlett Sch Construct & Project Management, London WC1E 7HB, England 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 7.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xiao, Hongwei,Ma, Zhongyu,Mi, Zhifu,et al. Spatio-temporal simulation of energy consumption in China's provinces based on satellite night-time light data[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2018,231:1070-1078.
APA	Xiao, Hongwei.,Ma, Zhongyu.,Mi, Zhifu.,Kelsey, John.,Zheng, Jiali.,...&Yan, Min.(2018).Spatio-temporal simulation of energy consumption in China's provinces based on satellite night-time light data.APPLIED ENERGY,231,1070-1078.
MLA	Xiao, Hongwei,et al."Spatio-temporal simulation of energy consumption in China's provinces based on satellite night-time light data".APPLIED ENERGY 231(2018):1070-1078.