Bullwhip and anti-bullwhip effects in a supply chain

doi:10.1080/00207543.2017.1319087

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	Bullwhip and anti-bullwhip effects in a supply chain
	Li, Gang 1; Yu, Gang 2; Wang, Shouyang3 ; Yan, Hong 4
	2017
发表期刊	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION RESEARCH
ISSN	0020-7543
卷号	55 期号:18 页码:5423-5434
摘要	The anti-bullwhip effect, coined by Li et al. in 2005 based on the findings in a simulation study, is the contrary effect of the well-known bullwhip effect. Although there is ample empirical evidence that suggests both effects exist, current literature has not yet provided an integrated framework to address how the two effects are related with each other. By extending the classic work of Lee, Padmanabhan, and Whang of 1997 to a multi-stage supply chain, we derive closed-form formula to analytically describe how the two effects originate initially and then evolve over time and space in the supply chain. Our results show both the bullwhip effect and the anti-bullwhip effect can occur when facing different end-customer demands. However, the magnitude of these effects gradually decreases when moving upstream. We also show the impact of long lead-time on increasing the magnitude of information transformation at the next stage and simultaneously decreasing the magnitude at higher stages. These analytical results provide a theoretical explanation to most simulation findings of Li et al.'s 2005 work and can be used by researchers and practitioners to examine the empirical data and design innovate marketing strategies to convert the unwelcome bullwhip effect into the anti-bullwhip effect.
关键词	bullwhip effect supply chain dynamics lead time anti-bullwhip effect information transformation
DOI	10.1080/00207543.2017.1319087
语种	英语
资助项目	NSFC/RGC Joint Research Scheme[N_PolyU531/16] ; Bentley University
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS类目	Engineering, Industrial ; Engineering, Manufacturing ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS记录号	WOS:000405912500015
出版者	TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/26125
专题	系统科学研究所
通讯作者	Li, Gang
作者单位	1.Bentley Univ, Management Dept, Waltham, MA 02452 USA 2.New Peak Grp, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Logist, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Gang,Yu, Gang,Wang, Shouyang,et al. Bullwhip and anti-bullwhip effects in a supply chain[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION RESEARCH,2017,55(18):5423-5434.
APA	Li, Gang,Yu, Gang,Wang, Shouyang,&Yan, Hong.(2017).Bullwhip and anti-bullwhip effects in a supply chain.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION RESEARCH,55(18),5423-5434.
MLA	Li, Gang,et al."Bullwhip and anti-bullwhip effects in a supply chain".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION RESEARCH 55.18(2017):5423-5434.