The "six-element" analysis method for the research on the characteristics of terrorist activities

doi:10.1007/s10479-013-1444-y

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	The "six-element" analysis method for the research on the characteristics of terrorist activities
	Fu, Julei 1; Sun, Duoyong 1; Chai, Jian 2; Xiao, Jin 3; Wang, Shouyang4
	2015-11-01
发表期刊	ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH
ISSN	0254-5330
卷号	234 期号:1 页码:17-35
摘要	The rapid development of social network theory provides a new perspective for the research on counter-terrorism, however, current research mostly relates to terrorists and terrorist organizations. Firstly, the "six-element" analysis method for terrorist activities based on social network is proposed in this paper, namely, a variety of sub-networks are constructed according to the correlation among the six elements-people, organization, time, location, manner and event. These sub-networks are assessed through using centrality analysis, cohesive subgroup analysis, spatial correlation analysis, invulnerability analysis and descriptive statistic analysis; the characteristics and laws of terrorist activities are revealed from several different perspectives. Then, the "six-element" analysis method is applied to conduct empirical research on "East Turkistan" terrorist activities since the founding of the People's Republic of China, so as to effectively identify core people and key organizations of the "East Turkistan" terrorist activity network, to assess the invulnerability of the "East Turkistan" terrorist network and to reveal the temporal and spatial distribution rules as well as the characteristics of the means and manners adopted in all previous terrorist activities. Lastly, the analysis results are interpreted qualitatively. This research can provide a basis for decision making and an analysis method for the identification of core terrorists and key terrorist organizations, determination of the key alert period, location of counter-terrorism and the early warning of the means of major terrorist activities.
关键词	Social network analysis Counter-terrorism The "six-element" analysis method "East Turkistan"
DOI	10.1007/s10479-013-1444-y
语种	英语
资助项目	Natural Science Foundation of China[70973138]
WOS研究方向	Operations Research & Management Science
WOS类目	Operations Research & Management Science
WOS记录号	WOS:000362683600003
出版者	SPRINGER
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/20998
专题	系统科学研究所
通讯作者	Wang, Shouyang
作者单位	1.Natl Univ Def Technol, Coll Informat Syst & Management, Changsha 410073, Hunan, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Ctr Math & Interdisciplinary Sci, Beijing 10080, Peoples R China 3.Sichuan Univ, Sch Business, Chengdu 610064, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fu, Julei,Sun, Duoyong,Chai, Jian,et al. The "six-element" analysis method for the research on the characteristics of terrorist activities[J]. ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH,2015,234(1):17-35.
APA	Fu, Julei,Sun, Duoyong,Chai, Jian,Xiao, Jin,&Wang, Shouyang.(2015).The "six-element" analysis method for the research on the characteristics of terrorist activities.ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH,234(1),17-35.
MLA	Fu, Julei,et al."The "six-element" analysis method for the research on the characteristics of terrorist activities".ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH 234.1(2015):17-35.