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Foreign Trade Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting Exports and Imports? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2022, 页码: 24
作者:  Bai Yun;  Wang Shouyang;  Zhang Xun
收藏  |  浏览/下载：58/0  |  提交时间：2023/02/07
ARIMAX  artificial neural network  composite index  forecasting  foreign trade  Granger causality test  survey data  
Why the Effects of Oil Price Shocks on China's Economy are Changing 期刊论文
ENERGY JOURNAL, 2020, 卷号: 41, 期号: 6, 页码: 107-132
作者:  Wang, Shouyang;  Zhang, Xun;  Zhao, Lin
收藏  |  浏览/下载：125/0  |  提交时间：2021/04/26
Oil price shocks  Macroeconomy  China  Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model  Time varying  
A Hierarchical Forecasting Model for China's Foreign Trade 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2020, 页码: 17
作者:  Sun, Yuying;  Zhang, Xun;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载：133/0  |  提交时间：2020/06/30
Decomposed and combined models  exports and imports  forecasts  hierarchy  trade structure  
Attention Matters: An Exploration of Relationship Between Google Search Behaviors and Crude Oil Prices 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2019, 卷号: 32, 期号: 5, 页码: 1438-1459
作者:  Li Xin;  Zhang Xun;  Wang Shouyang;  Ma Jian
收藏  |  浏览/下载：168/0  |  提交时间：2020/01/10
Asymmetric response  crude oil prices  Google search  investor attention  Markov switching autoregressive model  
Asymmetric pass-through of oil prices to gasoline prices with interval time series modelling 期刊论文
ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2019, 卷号: 78, 页码: 165-173
作者:  Sun, Yuying;  Zhang, Xun;  Hong, Yongmiao;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载：192/0  |  提交时间：2020/01/10
Asymmetry  Crude oil prices  Gasoline prices  Threshold autoregressive interval-valued  regression  Volatility  
How efficient are China's macroeconomic forecasts? Evidences from a new forecasting evaluation approach 期刊论文
ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2018, 卷号: 68, 页码: 506-513
作者:  Sun, Yuying;  Wang, Shouyang;  Zhang, Xun
收藏  |  浏览/下载：148/0  |  提交时间：2018/07/30
Forecast revisions  Macroeconomic forecast  Unbalanced three-dimensional panel data  Surveys  LINEX asymmetric loss function  
The effects of oil price shocks on output and inflation in China 期刊论文
ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2016, 卷号: 53, 页码: 101-110
作者:  Zhao, Lin;  Zhang, Xun;  Wang, Shouyang;  Xu, Shanying
收藏  |  浏览/下载：108/0  |  提交时间：2018/07/30
Oil demand shocks  Oil supply shocks  Output  Inflation  DSGE model  China  
How does Google search affect trader positions and crude oil prices? 期刊论文
ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2015, 卷号: 49, 页码: 162-171
作者:  Li, Xin;  Ma, Jian;  Wang, Shouyang;  Zhang, Xun
收藏  |  浏览/下载：96/0  |  提交时间：2018/07/30
Internet-based data  Google search volume index  Crude oil price  Granger causality  Trader positions