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Foreign Trade Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting Exports and Imports? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2022, 页码: 24
Authors:  Bai Yun;  Wang Shouyang;  Zhang Xun
Favorite  |  View/Download：17/0  |  Submit date：2023/02/07
ARIMAX  artificial neural network  composite index  forecasting  foreign trade  Granger causality test  survey data  
The time-varying causal relationship between the Bitcoin market and internet attention 期刊论文
Financial Innovation, 2021, 卷号: 7, 期号: 1
Authors:  Zhang,Xun;  Lu,Fengbin;  Tao,Rui;  Wang,Shouyang
Favorite  |  View/Download：88/0  |  Submit date：2021/10/26
Bitcoin  Internet attention  Google trends  Time-varying granger causality  Multiple bubbles test  G11  G15  C15  
Why the Effects of Oil Price Shocks on China's Economy are Changing 期刊论文
ENERGY JOURNAL, 2020, 卷号: 41, 期号: 6, 页码: 107-132
Authors:  Wang, Shouyang;  Zhang, Xun;  Zhao, Lin
Favorite  |  View/Download：94/0  |  Submit date：2021/04/26
Oil price shocks  Macroeconomy  China  Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model  Time varying  
A Hierarchical Forecasting Model for China's Foreign Trade 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2020, 页码: 17
Authors:  Sun, Yuying;  Zhang, Xun;  Wang, Shouyang
Favorite  |  View/Download：97/0  |  Submit date：2020/06/30
Decomposed and combined models  exports and imports  forecasts  hierarchy  trade structure  
Attention Matters: An Exploration of Relationship Between Google Search Behaviors and Crude Oil Prices 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2019, 卷号: 32, 期号: 5, 页码: 1438-1459
Authors:  Li Xin;  Zhang Xun;  Wang Shouyang;  Ma Jian
Favorite  |  View/Download：134/0  |  Submit date：2020/01/10
Asymmetric response  crude oil prices  Google search  investor attention  Markov switching autoregressive model  
Asymmetric pass-through of oil prices to gasoline prices with interval time series modelling 期刊论文
ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2019, 卷号: 78, 页码: 165-173
Authors:  Sun, Yuying;  Zhang, Xun;  Hong, Yongmiao;  Wang, Shouyang
Favorite  |  View/Download：154/0  |  Submit date：2020/01/10
Asymmetry  Crude oil prices  Gasoline prices  Threshold autoregressive interval-valued  regression  Volatility  
attentionmattersanexplorationofrelationshipbetweengooglesearchbehaviorsandcrudeoilprices 期刊论文
系统科学与复杂性学报英文版, 2019, 卷号: 000, 期号: 005, 页码: 1438-1459
Authors:  Li Xin;  Zhang Xun;  Wang Shouyang;  Ma Jian
Favorite  |  View/Download：116/0  |  Submit date：2020/05/24
How efficient are China's macroeconomic forecasts? Evidences from a new forecasting evaluation approach 期刊论文
ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2018, 卷号: 68, 页码: 506-513
Authors:  Sun, Yuying;  Wang, Shouyang;  Zhang, Xun
Favorite  |  View/Download：115/0  |  Submit date：2018/07/30
Forecast revisions  Macroeconomic forecast  Unbalanced three-dimensional panel data  Surveys  LINEX asymmetric loss function  
Assessing Potentiality of Support Vector Machine Method in Crude Oil Price Forecasting 期刊论文
EURASIA JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY EDUCATION, 2017, 卷号: 13, 期号: 12, 页码: 7893-7904
Authors:  Yu, Lean;  Zhang, Xun;  Wang, Shouyang
Favorite  |  View/Download：145/0  |  Submit date：2018/07/30
support vector machines  artificial neural networks  ARIMA model  ARFIMA model  Markov-switching ARFIMA model  
基于奇异谱分析的我国航空客运量集成预测模型 期刊论文
系统工程理论与实践, 2017, 卷号: 37, 期号: 6, 页码: 1479
Authors:  梁小珍;  乔晗;  汪寿阳;  张珣
Favorite  |  View/Download：87/0  |  Submit date：2020/01/10