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A Hierarchical Forecasting Model for China's Foreign Trade 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2020, 页码: 17
Authors:  Sun, Yuying;  Zhang, Xun;  Wang, Shouyang
Favorite  |  View/Download:10/0  |  Submit date:2020/06/30
Decomposed and combined models  exports and imports  forecasts  hierarchy  trade structure  
Asymmetric pass-through of oil prices to gasoline prices with interval time series modelling 期刊论文
ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2019, 卷号: 78, 页码: 165-173
Authors:  Sun, Yuying;  Zhang, Xun;  Hong, Yongmiao;  Wang, Shouyang
Favorite  |  View/Download:12/0  |  Submit date:2020/01/10
Asymmetry  Crude oil prices  Gasoline prices  Threshold autoregressive interval-valued  regression  Volatility  
How efficient are China's macroeconomic forecasts? Evidences from a new forecasting evaluation approach 期刊论文
ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2018, 卷号: 68, 页码: 506-513
Authors:  Sun, Yuying;  Wang, Shouyang;  Zhang, Xun
Favorite  |  View/Download:16/0  |  Submit date:2018/07/30
Forecast revisions  Macroeconomic forecast  Unbalanced three-dimensional panel data  Surveys  LINEX asymmetric loss function  
How efficient are China's macroeconomic forecasts? Evidences from a new forecasting evaluation approach 期刊论文
ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2018, 卷号: 68, 页码: 506
Authors:  Sun, Yuying;  Wang, Shouyang;  Zhang, Xun
Favorite  |  View/Download:7/0  |  Submit date:2019/12/31
Assessing Potentiality of Support Vector Machine Method in Crude Oil Price Forecasting 期刊论文
EURASIA JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY EDUCATION, 2017, 卷号: 13, 期号: 12, 页码: 7893-7904
Authors:  Yu, Lean;  Zhang, Xun;  Wang, Shouyang
Favorite  |  View/Download:16/0  |  Submit date:2018/07/30
support vector machines  artificial neural networks  ARIMA model  ARFIMA model  Markov-switching ARFIMA model  
The effects of oil price shocks on output and inflation in China 期刊论文
ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2016, 卷号: 53, 页码: 101-110
Authors:  Zhao, Lin;  Zhang, Xun;  Wang, Shouyang;  Xu, Shanying
Favorite  |  View/Download:7/0  |  Submit date:2018/07/30
Oil demand shocks  Oil supply shocks  Output  Inflation  DSGE model  China  
How does Google search affect trader positions and crude oil prices? 期刊论文
ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2015, 卷号: 49, 页码: 162-171
Authors:  Li, Xin;  Ma, Jian;  Wang, Shouyang;  Zhang, Xun
Favorite  |  View/Download:3/0  |  Submit date:2018/07/30
Internet-based data  Google search volume index  Crude oil price  Granger causality  Trader positions  
Did speculative activities contribute to high crude oil prices during 1993 to 2008? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2009, 卷号: 22, 期号: 4, 页码: 636-646
Authors:  Zhang, Xun;  Lai, Kin Keung;  Wang, Shouyang
Favorite  |  View/Download:5/0  |  Submit date:2018/07/30
Crude oil prices  Diks-Panchenko test  Hiemstra-Jones test  nonlinear Granger causality test  speculative activities  
Estimating the impact of extreme events on crude oil price: An EMD-based event analysis method 期刊论文
ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2009, 卷号: 31, 期号: 5, 页码: 768-778
Authors:  Zhang, Xun;  Yu, Lean;  Wang, Shouyang;  Lai, Kin Keung
Favorite  |  View/Download:4/0  |  Submit date:2018/07/30
Crude oil price  Event analysis  Empirical mode decomposition  Impact of extreme events  
AN INTEGRATED DECISION SUPPORT FRAMEWORK FOR MACROECONOMIC POLICY MAKING BASED ON EARLY WARNING THEORIES 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & DECISION MAKING, 2009, 卷号: 8, 期号: 2, 页码: 335-359
Authors:  Zhang, Xun;  Zheng, Guihuan;  Shang, Wei;  Xu, Shangying;  Yang, Xiaoguang;  Lai, Kin Keung;  Wang, Shou-Yang
Favorite  |  View/Download:12/0  |  Submit date:2018/07/30
Macroeconomic policy making  decision support system  macroeconomic early warning