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How to capture tourists' search behavior in tourism forecasts? A two-stage feature selection approach 期刊论文
EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2023, 卷号: 213, 页码: 9
作者:  Sun, Shaolong;  Hu, Mengyuan;  Wang, Shouyang;  Zhang, Chengyuan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:140/0  |  提交时间:2023/02/07
Tourism demand forecasting  Search engine data  Two -stage feature selection  Genetic algorithm  Kernel extreme learning machine  
An extreme bias-penalized forecast combination approach to commodity price forecasting 期刊论文
INFORMATION SCIENCES, 2022, 卷号: 615, 页码: 774-793
作者:  Zhang, Yifei;  Wang, Jue;  Yu, Lean;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:67/0  |  提交时间:2023/02/07
Forecast combination  Elastic net  Extreme bias  Weight-sparsity  Artificial bee colony algorithm  
Model averaging for interval-valued data 期刊论文
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2022, 卷号: 301, 期号: 2, 页码: 772-784
作者:  Sun, Yuying;  Zhang, Xinyu;  Wan, Alan T. K.;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:94/0  |  提交时间:2023/02/07
Forecasting  Asymptotic optimality  Interval-valued time series  Model averaging  Vector autoregression  
Economic exposure to regional value chain disruptions: evidence from Wuhan's lockdown in China 期刊论文
REGIONAL STUDIES, 2022, 页码: 12
作者:  Tian, Kailan;  Zhang, Zhuoying;  Zhu, Lingxiu;  Yang, Cuihong;  He, Jianwu;  Li, Shantong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:75/0  |  提交时间:2023/02/07
economic exposure  Covid-19  input-output model  regional value chains  disaster impact analysis  
Foreign Trade Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting Exports and Imports? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2022, 页码: 24
作者:  Bai Yun;  Wang Shouyang;  Zhang Xun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:61/0  |  提交时间:2023/02/07
ARIMAX  artificial neural network  composite index  forecasting  foreign trade  Granger causality test  survey data  
Probabilistic and deterministic wind speed forecasting based on non-parametric approaches and wind characteristics information 期刊论文
APPLIED ENERGY, 2022, 卷号: 306, 页码: 13
作者:  Heng, Jiani;  Hong, Yongmiao;  Hu, Jianming;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:100/0  |  提交时间:2022/04/02
Probabilistic and deterministic wind speed  forecasting  Wind characteristic information  Probability density functions  Generalized Gaussian process  Pseudo-Likelihood  
A novel multiscale forecasting model for crude oil price time series 期刊论文
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 2021, 卷号: 173, 页码: 15
作者:  Li, Ranran;  Hu, Yucai;  Heng, Jiani;  Chen, Xueli
收藏  |  浏览/下载:121/0  |  提交时间:2022/04/02
Crude oil price forecasting  Decomposition-ensemble method  Support vector machine  Multiscale strategy  Complexity analysis  
Decomposition Methods for Tourism Demand Forecasting: A Comparative Study 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF TRAVEL RESEARCH, 2021, 页码: 18
作者:  Zhang, Chengyuan;  Li, Mingchen;  Sun, Shaolong;  Tang, Ling;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:114/0  |  提交时间:2022/04/02
tourism demand forecasting  decomposition methods  variational mode decomposition  decomposition and ensemble  machine learning  
A New Two-Stage Approach with Boosting and Model Averaging for Interval-Valued Crude Oil Prices Forecasting in Uncertainty Environments 期刊论文
FRONTIERS IN ENERGY RESEARCH, 2021, 卷号: 9, 页码: 11
作者:  Huang, Bai;  Sun, Yuying;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:119/0  |  提交时间:2022/04/02
crude oil prices forecasting  forecast combination  interval-valued time series  model averaging  vector L2-boosting  
Forecasting crude oil price intervals and return volatility via autoregressive conditional interval models 期刊论文
ECONOMETRIC REVIEWS, 2021, 卷号: 40, 期号: 6, 页码: 584-606
作者:  He, Yanan;  Han, Ai;  Hong, Yongmiao;  Sun, Yuying;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:125/0  |  提交时间:2021/10/26
ACI model  interval-valued crude oil prices  range  trading strategy  volatility forecast