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Foreign Trade Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting Exports and Imports? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2022, 页码: 24
作者:  Bai Yun;  Wang Shouyang;  Zhang Xun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:61/0  |  提交时间:2023/02/07
ARIMAX  artificial neural network  composite index  forecasting  foreign trade  Granger causality test  survey data  
Semiparametric transformation models of survival-out-of-hospital 期刊论文
STATISTICS AND ITS INTERFACE, 2022, 卷号: 15, 期号: 4, 页码: 487-501
作者:  Sun, Xiaowei;  Zeng, Cheng;  Sun, Liuquan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:114/0  |  提交时间:2022/04/29
Estimating equations  Multiple imputation  Recurrent event  Terminal event  Transformation model  Survival-out-of-hospital  
Forecasting Tourism Demand With a New Time-Varying Forecast Averaging Approach 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF TRAVEL RESEARCH, 2021, 页码: 19
作者:  Sun, Yuying;  Zhang, Jian;  Li, Xin;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:115/0  |  提交时间:2022/04/02
forecast combination  nonparametric estimation  structural changes  tourism demand  time-varying jackknife model averaging  
A New Hybrid VMD-ICSS-BiGRU Approach for Gold Futures Price Forecasting and Algorithmic Trading 期刊论文
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON COMPUTATIONAL SOCIAL SYSTEMS, 2021, 卷号: 8, 期号: 6, 页码: 1357-1368
作者:  Li, Yuze;  Wang, Shouyang;  Wei, Yunjie;  Zhu, Qing
收藏  |  浏览/下载:111/0  |  提交时间:2022/04/02
Gold  Forecasting  Autoregressive processes  Predictive models  Signal resolution  Deep learning  Mathematical model  Algorithmic trading  bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU)  gold futures price forecasting  variational mode decomposition (VMD)  
Social media sentiment, model uncertainty, and volatility forecasting 期刊论文
ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2021, 卷号: 102, 页码: 13
作者:  Lehrer, Steven;  Xie, Tian;  Zhang, Xinyu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:104/0  |  提交时间:2021/10/26
Model averaging  Volatility forecasting  Social media  Big data  Sentiment analysis  
Forecasting crude oil price intervals and return volatility via autoregressive conditional interval models 期刊论文
ECONOMETRIC REVIEWS, 2021, 卷号: 40, 期号: 6, 页码: 584-606
作者:  He, Yanan;  Han, Ai;  Hong, Yongmiao;  Sun, Yuying;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:124/0  |  提交时间:2021/10/26
ACI model  interval-valued crude oil prices  range  trading strategy  volatility forecast  
Model averaging prediction for time series models with a diverging number of parameters 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2021, 卷号: 223, 期号: 1, 页码: 190-221
作者:  Liao, Jun;  Zou, Guohua;  Gao, Yan;  Zhang, Xinyu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:133/0  |  提交时间:2021/10/26
Asymptotic optimality  Autoregressive process  Consistency  Mallows criterion  Model averaging  
Infection rate models for COVID-19: Model risk and public health news sentiment exposure adjustments 期刊论文
PLOS ONE, 2021, 卷号: 16, 期号: 6, 页码: 39
作者:  Chalkiadakis, Ioannis;  Yan, Hongxuan;  Peters, Gareth W.;  Shevchenko, Pavel, V
收藏  |  浏览/下载:126/0  |  提交时间:2021/10/26
Forecasting Bitcoin realized volatility by exploiting measurement error under model uncertainty 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF EMPIRICAL FINANCE, 2021, 卷号: 62, 页码: 179-201
作者:  Qiu, Yue;  Wang, Zongrun;  Xie, Tian;  Zhang, Xinyu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:135/0  |  提交时间:2021/10/26
HARQ  Model averaging  &  nbsp  Bitcoin  Realized volatility  
Model averaging in a multiplicative heteroscedastic model 期刊论文
ECONOMETRIC REVIEWS, 2020, 页码: 25
作者:  Zhao, Shangwei;  Ma, Yanyuan;  Wan, Alan T. K.;  Zhang, Xinyu;  Wang, Shouyang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:151/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/23
Heteroscedasticity-robust  model averaging  multiplicative heteroscedasticity  plug-in  squared prediction risk