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A discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain based in-play prediction model for NBA basketball matches 期刊论文
COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION, 2021, 卷号: 50, 期号: 11, 页码: 3768-3776
Authors:  Shi, Jian;  Song, Kai
Favorite  |  View/Download:40/0  |  Submit date:2022/04/02
Betting  In-play predictions  Markov chain  Positive returns  Uncertainty analysis  
Modelling the scores and performance statistics of NBA basketball games 期刊论文
COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION, 2020, 卷号: 49, 期号: 10, 页码: 2604-2616
Authors:  Song, Kai;  Zou, Qingrong;  Shi, Jian
Favorite  |  View/Download:62/0  |  Submit date:2021/01/14
NBA outcome forecast  Bivariate normal mean regression  Performance statistics  Betting strategy  Market efficiency tests  
A gamma process based in-play prediction model for National Basketball Association games 期刊论文
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2020, 卷号: 283, 期号: 2, 页码: 706-713
Authors:  Song, Kai;  Shi, Jian
Favorite  |  View/Download:72/0  |  Submit date:2020/05/24
OR in sports  Gamma process  in-play prediction  Bayesian method  Betting  
Making real-time predictions for NBA basketball games by combining the historical data and bookmaker's betting line 期刊论文
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2020, 卷号: 547, 页码: 8
Authors:  Song, Kai;  Gao, Yiran;  Shi, Jian
Favorite  |  View/Download:60/0  |  Submit date:2020/06/30
Sports science  NBA  In-play predictions  Gamma process  The total points process  
A Bayesian In-Play Prediction Model for Association Football Outcomes 期刊论文
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL, 2020, 卷号: 10, 期号: 8, 页码: 18
Authors:  Zou, Qingrong;  Song, Kai;  Shi, Jian
Favorite  |  View/Download:77/0  |  Submit date:2020/06/30
bayesian inference  point process model  in-play prediction  betting market  adjusting forecast  association football  
A discrete-time and finite-state Markov Chain model for association football matches 期刊论文
COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION, 2018, 卷号: 47, 期号: 8, 页码: 2476-2485
Authors:  Zou, Qingrong;  Li, Qi;  Guo, Hao;  Shi, Jian
Favorite  |  View/Download:93/0  |  Submit date:2018/10/07
Association football  Discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain  Football outcome forecast  Maximum likelihood  Recursive algorithm  65C20  62M20  60J10  62P25